tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post3048462922577336096..comments2023-05-18T04:38:10.674-05:00Comments on Winnipeg Weather: Spring!jjcwpghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comBlogger34125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-16902979575344877092014-04-08T16:52:02.321-05:002014-04-08T16:52:02.321-05:00Nice to see the grass finally starting to peak out...Nice to see the grass finally starting to peak out in spots... A very rapid melt today at my place with a snow depth now all the way down to 18 cm, about a 10 cm drop in the last 2 days. Much slower in the shade of course with drifts still about 60 cm. With temperatures likely not dropping below zero tonight and highs near 10°C tomorrow, the melt is on!jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-26162011372614347362014-04-08T10:28:01.564-05:002014-04-08T10:28:01.564-05:00Yeah there technically could be some thunder with ...Yeah there technically could be some thunder with that front tomorrow... I'm thinking the best chance will remain mainly to our south.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-25761674965773679082014-04-08T10:19:12.561-05:002014-04-08T10:19:12.561-05:00Just a heads up for those who will be out and abou...Just a heads up for those who will be out and about Wednesday afternoon, it will be very windy as the cold front passes through with gusts up to 80 km/h or greater possible. There may also some showers with the passing of the front as well with perhaps some thunder.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-23721495360412099372014-04-08T09:22:18.382-05:002014-04-08T09:22:18.382-05:00Unfortunately the weekend and beginning of next we...Unfortunately the weekend and beginning of next week look quite cool right now which will slow the melting. Howver the good news is that appears we will be warming up quite nicely as the Easter long weekend approaches.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-79976919622808853012014-04-08T09:15:43.083-05:002014-04-08T09:15:43.083-05:00No and thankfully (because it was misleading) that...No and thankfully (because it was misleading) that 16°C is no longer in the forecast. The new 12°C seems more reasonable, but there is a chance we may not even reach that depending on how thick the cloud cover is and when the cold front passes. At this point, it looks like the front will be passing sometime in the afternoon... the earlier it passes, generally the lower the high will be tomorrow. Winds will increase to near 40 km/h behind the front so we'll definitely notice when it passes. We could also see some showers with the front as well.<br /><br />I'm sticking with a high of 9-11°C at the airport at this point... but it definitely could get warmer within city limits with 12°C reasonable.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-11022081160500764802014-04-07T21:13:24.095-05:002014-04-07T21:13:24.095-05:00I see E.C. has gone even more optimistic for us We...I see E.C. has gone even more optimistic for us Wednesday. Forecasting 16C now. Not so sure about that.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-54860383612554321222014-04-07T18:27:14.188-05:002014-04-07T18:27:14.188-05:00Many thanks for the link Don... Was not aware of t...Many thanks for the link Don... Was not aware of that website! Will add it to the list of links.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-57457893226108168182014-04-07T18:14:53.732-05:002014-04-07T18:14:53.732-05:00JJ Left a photo/video?? at MB@G 4U Only way I co...JJ Left a photo/video?? at MB@G 4U Only way I could think of . Please add to your links DonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-76228568743875991192014-04-07T15:16:36.840-05:002014-04-07T15:16:36.840-05:00The joys of temperature forecasting at this time o...The joys of temperature forecasting at this time of year....! Even for today, yesterday I was saying 2-3°C for today, didn't think that was going to be too warm! Airport's just struggling at the freezing mark today....jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-62183600695670621132014-04-07T14:20:52.126-05:002014-04-07T14:20:52.126-05:00Unfortunately. it's a slower melt today as tem...Unfortunately. it's a slower melt today as temps are really struggling to get to that forecast of 5C.<br /><br />I have to admit, I personally don't think we'll see 14C or 15C here in Winnipeg Wednesday. I think 10C is more realistic especially at the Airport. Still too much snow remaining and you can never underestimate the power of snowcover.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-1695749663340609782014-04-07T13:43:58.481-05:002014-04-07T13:43:58.481-05:00The latest for Wednesday still likely has us exper...The latest for Wednesday still likely has us experiencing our warmest day since November. Some very warm air is expected in snowfree areas such as the Morden to Melita corridor where highs could reach 20C for the first time. Unfortunately the snowcover will keep us cooler in the 11-14C range. Even warmer yet south of the border where Fargo is expecting a very impressive high of 25C. Too bad it's only a 1 day event as we cool off Thursday.<br /><br />The good news is, Euro has backed off on that big cooldown next week. Still below normal but not as significant.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-30399061936781172422014-04-07T13:17:16.602-05:002014-04-07T13:17:16.602-05:00A new set of weather webcams set out by the provin...A new set of weather webcams set out by the province is now available:<br />http://web20.gov.mb.ca/RI/Map?lng=-96.69&lat=49.5&z=9jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-18505696365496893102014-04-07T12:37:17.329-05:002014-04-07T12:37:17.329-05:00Winter of 2007-2008 wasn't warm by 21st centur...Winter of 2007-2008 wasn't warm by 21st century standards so I wouldn't say this was the first even numbered year of the 21st century to not have a warm winter. Overall, winters have been warming significantly in the last 30 years... this winter really has been a huge exception.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-27893371485841194152014-04-07T12:28:37.830-05:002014-04-07T12:28:37.830-05:00 Jj Curiosity At best, but is this the first even... Jj Curiosity At best, but is this the first even numbered year of this millenia that was not a warm winter in the Peg as in 2000-2-4-6-8-10-12 ? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-82761344269945158072014-04-07T08:18:16.568-05:002014-04-07T08:18:16.568-05:00Unfortunately, some models are starting to bring i...Unfortunately, some models are starting to bring in the colder air/cold front much earlier in the day on Wednesday than they were in previous runs. Something to keep an eye on as it could keep our temperatures lower than otherwise. I'm still calling for 9-11°C however... but higher than that is looking more and more unlikely. Strong winds over 40 km/h are possible behind the front which will make it feel cooler.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-80994307883393895602014-04-06T22:01:27.308-05:002014-04-06T22:01:27.308-05:00Winter (December to March) 1899-1900 averaged -14....Winter (December to March) 1899-1900 averaged -14.6°C, tied 64th coldest so about normal... and there wasn't a lot of snow...<br />But yeah, as far as I'm concerned, I don't think we have any ENSO data from back then so I have no idea what were the variables of that winter. jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-75540124552095568312014-04-06T21:53:20.619-05:002014-04-06T21:53:20.619-05:00Honestly, I'm not a fan of seasonal forecasts....Honestly, I'm not a fan of seasonal forecasts... but I've heard there's some thought that we'll be warmer than normal... I cannot tell you whether that's realistic or not.<br /><br />I've calculated that of the top 20 coldest December to March periods, only 4 (20%) were followed by a summer (june-july-august) that was warmer than the 1872-2013 average mean of 18.2°C and only 3 (15%) were warmer than today's average summer mean of 18.4°C. Something to keep in mind.... but in reality it is very difficult to predict summer this far out.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-34193951926051266492014-04-06T21:47:07.621-05:002014-04-06T21:47:07.621-05:00Hi JJ, I am wondering after this record cold wint...Hi JJ, I am wondering after this record cold winter (since 1898-1899), what was the following winter like in 1899-1900? I realize we are probably heading into an El Nino, so it may not be a fair comparison.....but very curious!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-91939409275817870262014-04-06T21:27:19.463-05:002014-04-06T21:27:19.463-05:00Thanks for that JJ. Hopefully it's not too col...Thanks for that JJ. Hopefully it's not too cold. Also, JJ, it might be too early for any thoughts on this but what are the indications as far as this summer is concerned? will it be a hotter summer and a more active summer?<br /><br />Thanks, AnonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-66227496524542422762014-04-06T21:17:38.762-05:002014-04-06T21:17:38.762-05:00Generally below normal temperatures are expected m...Generally below normal temperatures are expected mid-month, probably beginning next weekend. How long it will last and how cold it will be is hard to say this far out... in addition just how cold it will be also depends on how much snow pack remains on the ground. Hoepefully we can manage to melt most of the snow by the end of this week so that we stay warmer, but we'll have to wait and see at this point.<br /><br />Note that thankfully we're past the worst of the winter and we probably wont be seeing any more -20's until next winter.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-66006262293403216392014-04-06T21:03:35.662-05:002014-04-06T21:03:35.662-05:00JJ, I read that from anonymous(7:08 PM) indicating...JJ, I read that from anonymous(7:08 PM) indicating that the cold is coming back next week. I also saw that on Robs blog.<br /><br />how cold is gonna be?<br /><br />Thanks, AnonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-43867780710612705222014-04-06T20:59:12.868-05:002014-04-06T20:59:12.868-05:00High of 6.1°C at the airport today and 8.4°C at Th...High of 6.1°C at the airport today and 8.4°C at The Forks. Also:<br /><br />11.9°C Morden<br />11.4°C Sprague<br />10.9°C Melita<br />10.8°C Pilot Mound<br />10.5°C Pinawa<br />8.4°C Kleefeld<br /><br />By this time of year, these types of temperatures shouldn't be as impressive as they seem to appear this year! In fact, the airport's high today was still 1°C below normal.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-22151832761354673842014-04-06T19:08:03.235-05:002014-04-06T19:08:03.235-05:00It appears that we better enjoy the springlike wea...It appears that we better enjoy the springlike weather this week because if GFS and Euro are right, winter returns next week with another spell of well below normal temperatures.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-239725615260853122014-04-06T15:50:57.410-05:002014-04-06T15:50:57.410-05:00Thanks for the report..
Yeah, the nice bare fields...Thanks for the report..<br />Yeah, the nice bare fields are not too far away! Looking at visible satellite, it looks like most of the snow is gone generally from the Morden to Melita areas. Temperatures down there reflect the lack of snow with highs near 11°C in Melita and Morden today. Mid to high teens are likely there on Wednesday as a result.jjcwpghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03353008394397372445noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5071575595521727141.post-10336965797867437472014-04-06T15:41:25.771-05:002014-04-06T15:41:25.771-05:00That ND snow pack north of Grand Forks appeared f...That ND snow pack north of Grand Forks appeared far less consistent than other years yesterday with some ponding in ditches and much open land bare. Deeper in a narrow few fields closer to Pembina on I 29Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com