Tuesday, 16 December 2014

POLL - Top 10 Weather Events of 2014 in The Winnipeg Area

     Ahead of the grand reveal of the top 10 weather events of 2014 in the Winnipeg area around New Year's, I have created a poll where all of you can vote for your choice of  the top 2. In other words, you can pick up to 2 choices in the poll below - the events that you think were the top 2 events of 2014. Thank you for your participation!

Saturday, 13 December 2014

First Record of The Warm Spell Broken - Cool Down Imminent

     A record high minimum was broken yesterday in Winnipeg. The minimum was just -0.5°C, smashing the old record of -3.9°C in 1877!! It is possible we may break another high minimum record today as well (old record -2.8°C in 2002).

    Thick fog has developed this morning and is expected to redevelop again tonight into tomorrow morning. Temperatures will remain within about 2-3°C from the freezing mark today and tomorrow. However, a cool down is expected by tomorrow night with temperatures returning to near seasonal for early-mid week. Some flurries will also be possible Sunday into Monday, but we're not expecting much accumulation.

     Overall, it looks like we wont be too far from seasonal through to Christmas with values around or slightly above normal. There are hints of getting back into colder weather closer to the end of the month, but it's too far to say how cold.

     The current weather pattern does not favour any major snowstorms for the foreseeable future with only a few light snowfalls at times.

Wednesday, 3 December 2014

Frigid and Dry November Closes 18th Driest Fall

     November actually began fairly mild... Our first accumulative snowfall of the season actually occurred on November 10, tying 14th latest first snowfall accumulation of fall since 1872. The latest was on November 21, 1963. 1981-2010 normal is October 18.

     The dramatic turn to winter mid-month was by far the main story of November this year. The cold snap was unusually prolonged and lasted through to the end of the month. Lows dipped into the -20's on many occasions. The coldest low was -29.6°C on the 26th, the coldest temperature in November since 1996. Temperatures only topped out at -19.3°C on the 26th and 30th, the coldest highs in November since 1985.

     In the end, November finished with an average of -8.8°C (4.2°C below normal), the 22nd coldest November on record since 1872. It was also the coldest since 1996 and the 9th coldest in the last century.

     Looking at the future, luckily a warmup is in store for mid December. Models are in very high agreement that above normal temperatures will be dominant beginning next week, and this warmth may last more than just a few days. Questions still remain about how long the warmup will last however, as there has been talk of cooling down later in the month. Nonetheless, after the ridiculous cold of November, this warmup will be very welcomed.

     November was also dry with just around 14 or 15 mm of precipitation recorded in Winnipeg. This came on the heels of a 3rd driest October. With only around 60 mm of precipitation this fall, it was the 18th driest fall since 1872.

Sunday, 30 November 2014

Some Changes (Possibly Temporary) to This Blog

     I'm afraid I will no longer be making daily forecasts on this blog for the time being. There's a lot going on in my life right now and I needed to let something go. What will stop is forecast posts such as the last few posts, and the daily Winnipeg forecast tab. This may return in the spring when university is finished.

     Nonetheless, the monthly summaries will continue to be posted, as well as the Canada t-storm season summary in a couple weeks and the top 10 weather events series at the end of December/beginning of January. In other words, this blog will become focused on stats for the time being. I may still occasionally post some storm summaries as well (maps of snowfall totals for example).

     If ever you have any questions about the forecast, feel free to ask in the comments and I'll gladly answer.