Tuesday 9 September 2014

Frost Possible Friday Morning

     An early fall reality has set in for southern Manitobans. Highs over the next few days will be a good 10°C below normal for this time of year.

     However, keep in mind we aren't having it as bad as in Alberta. 11.8 cm of snow fell in Calgary yesterday as afternoon temperatures hovered near 0°C. An additional 10-20 cm is expected tonight and tomorrow in the area! Highs will struggle to exceed much above the freezing mark today there.

     Here in Winnipeg, we'll only reach about 10-11°C today, which sounds relatively balmy compared to out west. However, this will bring us quite close to the old record low maximum of 10.6°C in 1878 today. Will let you all know in the comments below this evening wether we broke the record or not. There could be a few breaks in the cloud this afternoon which could ruin the chance for a record if they do occur.

     For tomorrow, very similar to today, except there will be a little bit more sun. Only expecting to reach around 10-11°C once again. Very similar on Thursday, except with once again a little bit more sun.

     Frost isn't extremely likely tonight and tomorrow night. However, frost may be possible Friday morning. With clearing skies and lighter winds, temperatures could drop into the -1°C to +1°C outside the city and in the outskirts of the city. Patchy frost could be possible as a result. The potential will be clearer by Thursday. Within city limits in Winnipeg, frost should not be as big a worry due to the heat island effect which should keep our temperatures a few degrees warmer, especially close to downtown.

8 comments:

  1. Already seeing some sunny breaks this morning... I think it will be difficult to break a record low max today.

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  2. Jj Will you be posting a summer summary report here or on The Moment

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    1. Monthly summaries are only posted on my blog while the seasonal summaries will be posted on A Weather Moment. I wont post the seasonal ones here to avoid redundance... but I still link the seasonal summaries to the ''summaries'' tab in case anyone wanted to look back.

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  3. At least we'll see some sun over the next few days, Friday being sunniest... But the cold continues. Only reaching low teens today and tomorrow, mid teens Friday and mid high teens by Saturday, depending on cloud cover. Some frost in low lying frost-prone areas, mainly outside the city, is possible tonight and Friday morning.

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  4. Luckily, cloud allowed us to escape frost this morning. Might not be the same story tonight, except downwind of the lakes. Patchy frost possible tonight if skies clear with lows close to 0°C in some areas. Again, within city limits the threat is not as significant.

    Sunnier tomorrow with highs in the mid teens. Cloudier on Saturday which will keep our highs in the mid teens again. Chance of a shower as well.

    I must note, there is a decent streamer of lake-effect rain coming off Lake Manitoba this morning. Radar indicating localized rainfall rates over 15 mm/hour just east of Portage.

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    1. 8.2 mm of rain has fallen in Portage so far today thanks to those lake effect streamers off Lake Manitoba.

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  5. By the way, 28.2 cm of snow has fallen at Calgary airport this week.. This would be a 7th snowiest September on record there since 1884 if they manage to be snow-free the remainder of the month. Amazingly, the snowiest September was in 1925 with 82.0 cm of snowfall!

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  6. Thankfully, cloud cover helped prevent frost once again around Winnipeg. Low of 1.1°C at the airport, but only dropping to 3-5°C within city limits. Not the same story eveywhere I'm sorry to say... Sub-freezing lows occurred in the western RRV including Carman at -1.8°C, around -2.2°C or so in Manitou, -3°C in Somerset and -2°C in Winkler. Dugald, Steinbach, Eriksdale, Carberry, Glenboro and Wawanesa areas also dropped below zero.

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