#4 - Super-Soaking June Storms
Biblical amounts of rain fell over the Prairies again this year – this time in mid and late June. While Winnipeg and the Red River Valley did see well above normal rainfall, amounts were much higher out west.
147.1 mm of rain fell at Winnipeg airport in June, 65% above normal and the 12th rainiest June since 1872. Most of the rain fell in the last
18 days of the month with a whopping 133.8 mm. Heavier amounts
fell in southern and eastern portions of the city where over 160 mm fell in
June, more than 140 mm of which fell in the last 18 days of the month.
Most of the rain fell during two multi-day
rain events. The first was from June 13 to 16. This particular rain event
affected mostly the Parklands, Interlake, southeast and Red River Valley
portions of southern Manitoba where anywhere from 20 to 120 mm of rain fell (see rainfall map here).
In Winnipeg, generally 65-80 mm fell. 69.9 mm fell at Winnipeg airport, the greatest rainfall event since late May 2010. Heavier amounts fell to the north and east with 93.5 mm in
Beauséjour and 120.6 mm in Lockport. Localized training thunderstorms on June 14 caused these higher amounts. Most of the
rain fell on June 15 with a Colorado Low. 40.1 mm fell at the airport June
15 alone, obliterating the old record of 18.3 mm in 1928.
Another significant rainfall occurred June
19 with 20-30 mm in Winnipeg. The Brandon area was hit hard as a training band of heavy downpours moved through for several hours.
A whopping 75.2 mm was recorded at Brandon airport.
Another multi-day rain event occurred June
27 to July 1 (see rainfall map here). Winnipeg received 35 to 65 mm during the period. Southwestern Manitoba and southeastern Saskatchewan were hit hard as
multiple waves of heavy rain and thunderstorms drenched the region with 90 to 200
mm. Amounts included about 138 mm in Brandon and about 164 mm in Deloraine. June
27 was particularly wet in the Brandon area with 50+ mm locally. According to
some of my family members, the town of Rapid City experienced significant
flooding as a creek burst its banks onto properties and streets after
thunderstorms dumped over 75 mm of rain.
The TCH east of Brandon; Credit: Randall Paull |
Too much rain in too little time on top of
already wet soils spelled disaster. Significant overland and stream flooding
occurred on both sides of the Saskatchewan-Manitoba border. Creeks and rivers burst their banks as they
neared or exceeded record levels, including the Assiniboine River. Vast
expanses of farm field flooded and several highways were closed and washed out. Water even topped portions of the
Trans-Canada Highway, as seen to the right in the photo by Randall Paull on twitter. Water also topped the access road to the Brandon airport, causing flight cancellations. Many communities issued states of
emergency,
including the City of Brandon. The situation was reminiscent of spring 2011 – the only difference this time was that the flooding was caused by
heavy summer rains. Flooding of this calibre occurring in the middle of summer is
almost unheard of in these areas.
The systems that affected southern
Manitoba late month, particularly a system which moved in on June 29, were
more typical of spring or fall systems.
Station-level pressure dropped to 95.78 kPa at Winnipeg airport at 6 pm on
June 29, the 4th lowest
pressure reading in June on record since 1953. Very strong winds behind
the system brought damaging winds to southwestern Manitoba. Brandon recorded
sustained winds of 50 to 70 km/h and gusts of 80 to 100 km/h. A maximum
sustained wind of 72 km/h and maximum gust of 104 km/h were recorded.
In the end, 251.6 mm of rain fell in
Brandon in June. This was not only the rainiest June but also by far the
rainiest month on record since 1890. It obliterated the old record of 217.3 mm
in August 1980. Even more impressive, 219.8 mm of this rain fell in just the
last 12 days of the month, more than half the annual normal. A large swath of the Prairies from Brandon, Manitoba
to Lethbridge, Alberta saw record June rains. As a result, it’s no mystery
that flooding was so severe. Thankfully for southeastern Manitoba, the rains
were less intense. Thus, flooding was not as concerning as it was out west.
To finish off, the Brandon Sun had some great photos of the flooding in southwestern Manitoba. You can view them by following this link.
#3 - January 15 ''Super-Clipper''
The system began by producing record winds and high temperatures in the morning and afternoon in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Edmonton municipal airport (near downtown) recorded a wind gust of 120 km/h, the strongest wind on record in Edmonton. Old record was 117 km/h on June 6, 1960. Similar story in Saskatoon where a gust of 115 km/h was recorded, breaking the old January record of 111 km/h in 1986. A summary of the damages caused in Edmonton can be seen here, and in Saskatoon here. Numerous record high temperatures were also reached with highs reaching mid to high single digits.
In Winnipeg, temperatures reached a record 3.3°C early evening (old record 2.2°C in 1973) after a low of -27.4°C in the morning. This 30.7°C warmup was the greatest single-day warmup on record since 1872.
Table: Top 5 greatest single-day ('calendar-day') warmups since 1872
Rank
|
Magnitude
of warmup
|
Date
|
1*
|
30.7°C
|
|
2
|
30.6°C
|
Jan 20, 1874
|
2
|
30.6°C
|
May 12, 1949
|
4
|
30.5°C
|
May 19, 1899
|
4
|
30.5°C
|
Jan 30, 1934
|
Blizzard conditions in Emerson early Jan 16; source |
The strong winds began as the cold front passed through late evening. Thankfully, the winds were not as strong as they were out west, but gusts were still in the 80 to 100 km/h range. Winnipeg recorded gusts of 80 to 85 km/h close to midnight. Sustained winds were in the 50 to 70 km/h range through the night. The maximum gust was in Portage with a gust of 104 km/h. The strong winds along with some new snowfall produced blowing snow and near-blizzard conditions in the Red River Valley early January 16.
#2 - An Historical Streak of Cold Months & Coldest Year Since 1996
The following table summarizes the 10-month streak of colder than average months by giving each month's deviation. Some notable statistics are also included.
Month
|
Deviation from previous 30-year average mean temperature
|
Notable statistics
|
Sep 2013
|
+2.5
|
|
Oct 2013
|
-0.6
|
|
Nov 2013
|
-1.1
|
|
Dec 2013
|
-7.4
|
|
Jan 2014
|
-3.8
|
|
Feb 2014
|
-6.4
|
|
Mar 2014
|
-6.8
|
|
Apr 2014
|
-4.1
|
5 consecutive
months averaging over 3.5°C below the 30-year average, longest streak ever
|
May 2014
|
-0.1
|
|
Jun 2014
|
-0.1
|
|
Jul 2014
|
-1.0
|
|
Aug 2014
|
+0.5
|
In the end, 2014 averaged 1.2°C, 1.7°C below the 1981-2010 normal and tied 28th coldest year since 1873. It was the coldest year since 1996. After two consecutive cold years (2013 averaged 1.4°C), hopefully 2015 will be more forgiving.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
A list of sources can be found here.
Unfortunately (unless you enjoy winter), looks like this next system will have an impact on our landscape here in southern Manitoba. A decent accumulation is expected, including in Winnipeg.
ReplyDeleteBefore the system actually moves in tomorrow night, a wave of light snow is likely early tomorrow morning. This wont bring much, likely no more than 1 cm.
Steadier snows should begin sometime early evening tomorrow. Winds wont be too strong to start off, but will gradually increase through the evening and overnight. Snow could be heavy at times tomorrow night. Heaviest snow right now is expected to be south of the Trans-Canada, generally riding not too far from the US border. The bulk of the snow will end sometime early in the morning, before most of us are awake. However, there could be some light snow still falling. The main concern by Saturday will be the winds from the north-northwest at 40 gusting to 50-60 km/h around Winnipeg, perhaps even stronger south of the city (Emerson area especially is prone to very strong northerly winds funneling up the valley). This will create significant blowing snow and possibly blizzard conditions around Winnipeg. I don't think we'll reach blizzard criteria within city neighbourhoods, but in open and rural areas blizzard criterion may be met. I wouldn't be surprised to see blizzard warnings south of the city issued. Winds will taper off late in the day on Saturday.
As for snowfall totals, I anticipate somewhere around 7 to 13 cm or so around Winnipeg. Generally 10-20 cm south of the city closer to the US border, perhaps locally a bit higher under any heavier bands.
As usual, keep in touch with Environment Canada and weather blogs for updates. We're still 2 days off, so things could still change slightly.
Bitterly cold behind the system for several days as we really lock into a frigid pattern. Lows in the mid -30's possible Sunday morning (can't rule out -35°C) and highs only in the mid -20's. Unfortunately, the cold looks to stay for a while.
December summary will be posted this evening. The number one event of 2014 will be posted either tomorrow evening or Saturday.
By the way, the Manitoba t-storm 2014 summary has been posted on AWM :)
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