Here are the records that Winnipeg has broken so far:
March 11 - 12.8°C high maximum (old 12.5°C in 1981)
March 12 - 9.7°C high maximum (old 7.2°C in 1922)
March 12 - 2.5°C high minimum (old 1.6°C in 1995)
Many more records are expected to be broken later on this week to add to that list. Keep in mind that normal highs around this time of year are around -1°C, while normal lows are closer to -11°C. Beginning Thursday, temperatures in southern Manitoba are expected to be at least 12 degrees above those norms.
Here are the highs I am forecasting until Monday along with the record highs. As you can see, many records could be broken:
Day.........Forecasted High........Old Record
Thursday 13°C 11.1°C in 1927
Friday 20°C 12.4°C in 1981
Saturday 16°C 12.8°C in 1938
Sunday 17°C 14.4°C in 1910
Monday 21°C 18.9°C in 1938
*Forecast updated March 15 7:45 AM
If we do manage to hit 20°C in this time frame, which is certainly a possibility, it would be the earliest we ever hit 20°C since records began in 1873. Currently the earliest 20°C ever was on March 23, 1910 when we hit 22.8°C.
At this point, it even appears we might squeeze in another warm-high teens day on Monday, although confidence in that is still uncertain at this point. It also appears very likely that warm weather will continue through most of the rest of March. NAEFS forecast still showing 90-100% chance of above normal temperatures late next week, and the beginning of the last week of March. CPC in the US also showing a good chance of above normal temperatures for the next 2 weeks. Stay tuned for updates...
|NAEFS forecast showing 90-100% chance of above normal temps. |
between March 21 and 28. The warm weather is here for a while!