|Early afternoon analysis with fronts, SBCAPE (yellow) and llj (green arrows)|
Storms will be more elevated in southern Manitoba later in the evening and overnight, eliminating the threat of tornadoes. Large hail and damaging winds will remain a threat through the night.
Here is my thunderstorm forecast map below, valid for the whole night from this afternoon to tomorrow morning. The left is the non-severe storm risk, and the right is the severe risk.
|Non-severe risk (left) - light blue = small dark blue = moderate green = high... Severe risk (right) - yellow = slight|